When asked what is the worst to NFL when it comes to football betting most people probably can help but think of the Detroit Lions. True they almost always have the worst record in the league but that doesn’t mean they don’t cover the spread from time to time. It is also true the Lions went winless in 2008 as they only covered 2 of 16 games last season against the spread. Despite all this the Jacksonville Jaguars over the last two seasons have the worst team to wager on.
The Jacksonville Jaguars were a playoff wining team back in 2007 but since then there has not been much to cheer about. Detroit may hold the honors for the team with the most straight up losses over the last two seasons but if you are betting on the Jaguars to cover point spreads then you are probably losing your money.
Over the last two NFL seasons the Jaguars are 12-20 straight up and 9-23 against the spread. The last two seasons the Jaguars have the worst record against the spread. That 9-23 mark means they only cover 2 out 5 games or 39%. The NFL average last season was 49.8% and the medium at 50%. The Jaguars are no where near that average number. In today’s NFL where parity is common with most teams around the 500 mark it is hard to imagine that a team talented as the Jaguars, fail to cover the spread so often.
What really make this so strange is that over the last two seasons the Jaguars were only outscored by an average of 4.8 points. Compare that to Detroit Lions who over the last two seasons were outscored by an average of 15.1 points per game. The Jaguars have taking some heavy beatings over the last two seasons losing many games by more than 15 points. When they win it usually is a close game. The Jaguars also lost the last four games straight up and against the spread last season.
It is safe to imagine the Jaguars are in a critical point right now. Another season like 2009 and you probably see a coaching change and several player transactions. Way things look it’s a risky move to bet on the Jaguars come September. The pressure they will face to get off to a respectable start is great. I would imagine if they experience a few close losses early that the whole season could fall apart.
The Jaguars are on team that will not be part of my September football picks as I plan on just observing for the first month of play to see just how they adjust to the situation. When it comes to my football betting system certain teams that I feel are in a desperate situation I will usually avoid
